Cagliari – Lecce

Should we expect a goal shootout from the teams?

Cagliari's phenomenal surge towards the end of the championship has helped them to improve their position. After 34 rounds played, the team is on the 14th line and has 32 points in its asset. However, the result of the meeting with Genoa is not very consistent with the previous indicators. In the match of the last round "islanders" lost to Genoa with a score of 3:0. Some injustice of such a crushing score shows both statistics and the course of the game. However, given the loss of points to their rivals in the fight for survival, there were no serious problems. At this stage, Claudio Ranieri's wards felt comfortable with a 2-1 win over Atalanta, as well as draws with Verona (1-1), Inter (2-2) and Juventus (2-2). Lecce, with a very high probability, secured their retention of the residence. "Wolves" were extremely close to a third consecutive victory in the last round, but missed it in the most offensive style. Luca Gotti's side took the lead in the match against Monza on 90+2 minutes. Surprisingly, the Brianzolli managed to equalise at 90+6th! However, thanks to victories over Sassuolo (0:3) and Empoli (1:0), this misfire did not affect the team's league position. Luca Gotti, however, emphasises that the team must guarantee themselves to keep their place "mathematically". It is important to note some discrepancies between statistics and metrics for the teams. Thus, according to the understat portal, according to xG Cagliari should score 3.62 more goals. Lecce, on the other hand, according to this metric are 12.81 goals short! At the same time, according to xGA the Wolves should concede 8.78 more goals. It is worth saying that nine of the last matches of Claudio Ranieri's team at home ended in a goal difference. Thus, it did not happen only in a meeting with Empoli at the end of 2023 (0-0). In the match of the first round the rivals played with the score 1:1. It is likely that the teams can share the points now. It is even more likely that they will exchange goals.