Spezia – Roma

Roma have a good chance of winning the match against La Spezia

Atalanta had the hot hand of La Spezia on Thursday. The Ligurians faced Bergamaschi in the Italian Cup 1/8 final. From the outset, things did not go according to the Eagles' plan as they conceded twice in the first 12 minutes, although they did manage to reduce the gap twice during the first half. Nevertheless, the final score of 5-2 in favour of the Goddess indicates some problems in the camp. One thing was certain to happen after this game: fatigue. Luca Gotti's charges have already played four games since the start of the season. Interestingly, they already faced Atalanta on 4 January, but then the game ended 2-2. Later, there was a 0-0 draw with Lecce and a narrow victory over Torino. Such a busy sequence of games against very serious opponents cannot but affect the Eagles' physical condition. Roma played their cup encounter a week ago - and quite successfully. "Wolves beat Genoa minimally, as always, in complete dominance, but without converting chances into goals. Last week's meeting with Fiorentina threatened to be a very serious test for the Giallorossi, but the course of the meeting was changed by the Fiallo representative. In the 24th minute, Dodo was awarded his second yellow card, leaving his side trailing. Two unanswered goals by the Romans were the logical outcome of such a match. Only once since the start of the year has Mourinho's side been unbeaten. That was on Matchday 17, when they drew 2-2 against AC Milan. Roma also beat Bologna narrowly. Yes, you can talk for hours about the inefficiency of Seu Jose's team, but they clearly can't be accused of inefficiency. Roma are currently sitting in seventh place in the standings. Despite their recent good results, the team are still underperforming in many statistical areas. So, the Wolves should score 11.9 (!) more goals on xG, concede 3.85 less on xGA and score 3.35 points more on xPTS. Judging by recent games, Dibala alone (and he's the one who has scored the last three goals for the Giallorossi) is willing to correct some statistical irregularities. Last season, Roma beat Spezia twice. It is unlikely that this trend will not continue now. The Ligurians will not be able to withstand the pragmatism of their opponents without a proper rest.