Lazio – Salernitana

Salernitana will hold back Lazio’s attacking potential

It has been a very productive week for Lazio. The Romans defeated Atalanta in the league and Midtjylland in the Europa League. With eight points before the end of the group stage, Lazio are now top of Group F. Nevertheless, the Biancocelesti's place in the Europa League is so precarious that they could find themselves at the bottom of the table. On 3 November, Maurizio Sarri's charges will take on Feyenoord in their next meeting. With such a busy schedule, the allenator will obviously rotate the squad. And with the absence of some very important players (Ciro Immobile out until the end of the year), the Eagles' variation is very reduced. It is worth noting that the mentor criticised the Olimpico pitch after the match against Udinese. Lazio's last three home games have shown that they have some problems at home. For example, there were draws against Sturm and the Friuli and a one-goal victory over Middtjollann. Other statistics suggest that the Romans are scoring more in home encounters than they should. The xPTS is outscored by 4.76 points (highest in the league), the xG is 4.43, and the Biancocelesti have conceded 3.19 fewer goals than they should have on xGA. Salernitana produced a very convincing win in the last round. "The Seahorses beat La Spezia, albeit minimally, but very confidently thanks to Mazzocchi's goal. In general, the Seahorses can take credit for the last three meetings. In addition, Davide Nicola's side beat Verona and lost to Inter, while also showing some very good football. The defeat by Sassuolo did something to transform the team. Worth mentioning is the team's generally decent away statistics. In addition to the two defeats, there were three draws. Among them was a points division with Udinese and Juventus. Although Lazio are favourites for this match, but certain factors could hinder the team. The Romans are on a tight schedule, and the injury of leader Ciro Immobile risks affecting the game not in the best way. There is no question that Sarri will sacrifice this game. But the Romans can save their strength before the encounter with Feyenoord. A Lazio win (if it happens) is unlikely to be overconfident.