NY Red Bulls – Toronto

Toronto have a good chance of avoiding big defeat

The New York Red Bulls take on Toronto at home on Sunday, June 19. The home team is in fourth place in the Eastern Conference. Their rival is considered one of the league's outsiders. The Canadian club is in danger of missing the playoffs. New York has not been impressive in recent games. One of the favourites of the season does not have any stability. The team is playing fairly open football. There are serious questions on defense. Gerhard Stroeber's charges have conceded goals in six consecutive games. Ten goals have been scored in that time. If you take advanced stats, New York are in the top five in terms of chances created. The problem is that the club has had a very weak stretch since May. The team is averaging one point per game. Toronto ended a bad streak. There was a black streak of five straight losses in April and May. Importantly, the lack of goals was a major factor. In three consecutive matches, the club had suffered defeats without scoring. At the same time, not a single collapse was registered, which speaks volumes about the level of Toronto's players. Next, the Canadiens came alive. In particular, Chicago Fire, who had previously failed to beat New York, were beaten at home. It was also a bright match against DC United. The opponents scored two goals each against each other. Toronto at the moment does not look a hopeless team, although it has problems with the squad. There have been six losses. Chief among them is forward Posuelo. Without him, their attacking potential declines. At the same time, the hosts also have plenty of injuries. Five players from the main roster will not take to the pitch. The match in New York is notable for the odds of over 10.00 on the underdog. It is the only such match in the tour. New York is a better team and should be considered the favourite, but the odds on the bookmakers' side are not that obvious. The home team is in bad shape, and Toronto is not losing to anyone by a wide margin. In fourteen rounds, such a negative event has only happened once. If we take personal meetings, only one defeat by Toronto over a distance of ten games since 2017. The Canadian club may well, if not cling to a draw, at least hold on to the intrigue until the final minutes. New York's attack went scoreless in their last game against Charlotte. At the moment, bookmakers are giving decent odds even on Toronto's victory with a two-goal margin.